My AI-driven META – Advanced Trading Plan Update February 19, 2025

https://preview.redd.it/y9q1y4g1v3ke1.png?width=1188&format=png&auto=webp&s=00d362a26f89ff2c76f34e239640354c0b6943f9

Date: February 19, 2025
Current Price: $715.69 (Pre-market)

Updated Key Levels – Pre-market Data

Support 1

  • Price: $710.50
  • Net Directional Volume: +12,500,000
  • Implied Volatility: 22.7%
  • Order Block: Yes

Support 2

  • Price: $705.25
  • Net Directional Volume: +9,800,000
  • Implied Volatility: 21.5%
  • Order Block: No

Resistance 1

  • Price: $720.75
  • Net Directional Volume: -14,200,000
  • Implied Volatility: 23.5%
  • Order Block: No

Resistance 2

  • Price: $725.80
  • Net Directional Volume: -18,100,000
  • Implied Volatility: 24.0%
  • Order Block: Yes

Updated Critical Levels

  • Intraday Key Level 1: $715.50
  • Intraday Key Level 2: $710.00
  • Intraday Key Level 3: $705.00

Market Sentiment – Update

  • Bias: Neutral with a bullish tilt
  • Key Drivers:
    • Support at $710.50 has been tested, indicating a potential return to $720.75.
    • If price breaks above $720.75, a test of $725.80 is likely with bullish acceleration.

Price Action Toward Key Levels – Update

  • Bullish Scenario:
    • If META breaks above $720.75, high probability of reaching $725.80.
    • Volume confirmation needed to validate the bullish breakout.
  • Bearish Scenario:
    • If META drops below $710.50, expect a test of $705.25 with potential downside acceleration.

Unusual Options Activity – Update

  • Call Strike 720: Increased volume, indicating bullish expectations.
  • Put Strike 710: Significant rise in Open Interest, suggesting hedging of long positions.

Trading Plan – Update

  • Current Price: $715.69
  • Identified Resistance: $720.75
  • Identified Support: $710.50

Recommended Strategies

📈 Long Strategy – Higher Probability

  • Entry: Above $720.75
  • Target: $725.80
  • Stop Loss: $710.50
  • Options Setup:
    • Call Strike: $725

📉 Short Strategy – Only on Breakdown

  • Entry: Below $710.50
  • Target: $705.25
  • Stop Loss: $710.50
  • Options Setup:
    • Put Strike: $710

Advanced Options Strategies – Update

  • Iron Condor: Sell 725 Call & 710 Put to capitalize on a $710.50 – $720.75 range.
  • Straddle: Recommended only on a breakout above $720.75 or below $710.50 to maximize movement.
  • Bear Put Spread: Buy 710 Put & Sell 705 Put if expecting a bearish breakout.
  • Iron Butterfly: Ideal for a closing range within $710.50 – $720.75.

Technical Analysis – Update

  • RSI: 53, slightly bullish.
  • MACD: Bullish crossover, positive signal.
  • Bollinger Bands: Compression phase, potential breakout imminent.

Backtesting & Statistics – Update

  • Long Strategy: 68% probability of reaching $725.80 if price breaks above $720.75.
  • Short Strategy: 72% probability of reaching $705.25 if price breaks below $710.50.

Risk Management – Update

  • Explosion Level at $710.00: If price drops below, expect increased downside risk.
  • Tight Stop Losses to avoid false breakouts.
  • Monitor Implied Volatility for directional confirmations.

Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.