YouGov's MRP Model is Incredible and Statistically Sound
I have been closely watching this specific model ever since it was first launched this cycle. I believe that it will be the most accurate/representative of the broader electorate and election outcome due to the high sample sizes of each swing state surveyed (Range of n = 1185-4919). Once again, models from reputable and non-partisan outlets with high levels of statistical power/significance should be elevated instead of dumb shit like Polymarket.
Link to Model: https://today.yougov.com/elections/us/2024