Don’t take all of the Emilia Pérez eggs out of your prediction baskets just yet

While the Green Book screenwriter’s anti-Muslim sentiments were limited to one tweet and didn’t cause as big a firestorm as Karla Sofía Gascón has, this scandal didn’t prevent the film from receiving 5 Oscar nominations and eventually winning 3 - including Best Screenplay for the guy who wrote the bad tweet 🙃

Again, KSG has created a much bigger problem for EP than Vallelonga did for GB, and I really do think EP’s Best Picture chances are completely shot. But the Academy isn’t that different demographically from what it was almost 10 years ago (things have definitely changed but the majority of voters are still white men over 60), and I still think there’s a chance the movie pulls through with more than a couple BTL wins.

(For the record, I’m not here to support Emilia Pérez in any capacity - I’ll be rooting for the A Complete Unknown team come Oscar night!!)